In the upcoming election set for December 10-12, former army chief Abdel Fattah al-Sisi is poised to extend his presidency in Egypt for another six years. However, this election occurs against the backdrop of the conflict in the Gaza Strip and growing concerns about the nation’s economic performance.
Sisi’s Decade in Power: Stability vs. Dissent
Having held power for nearly a decade, Sisi has positioned himself as a stabilizing force in a region fraught with volatility. The recent conflicts in Sudan and Gaza have underscored his message of stability, albeit amidst criticism and unease due to a decade-long crackdown on dissent.
A Trending Pattern: Third Term Seeking in Africa
Critics view this election as inconsequential due to the suppression of dissenting voices over the years. Comparisons are drawn to similar attempts, such as Obasanjo’s unsuccessful bid for a third term in Nigeria. The opposition remains divided on whether to participate or boycott the election.
The Impact of the Gaza Conflict: A Political Advantage?
Khaled Dawoud of the Civil Democratic Movement notes the Gaza conflict as a strategic advantage for Sisi, enabling him to divert attention from the election and rally support during a period of economic crisis.
Campaign Dynamics: Priorities and Criticisms
Despite claims of reducing campaign expenses to aid Gaza, ubiquitous posters featuring Sisi’s image flood the streets. The campaign office declined to comment on criticisms of the election’s fairness, emphasizing Sisi’s achievements and popularity.
State’s Stance and Opposition Challenges
Egypt’s State Information Service perceives the election as a step towards fostering political competition. However, the Muslim Brotherhood, a traditional opposition force, remains suppressed, driving them underground or abroad.
Limited Opposition: Controlled Contest or Genuine Competition?
Three low-profile candidates stand against Sisi, muted in their criticism. Their presence is seen as an attempt to provide a semblance of competition, albeit within predefined limits set by the authorities.
Challenges and Economic Concerns
Sisi’s previous victories were grounded in promises of security restoration post-2011 uprising and economic development. However, the economy struggles amidst ballooning debt and state-dominated sectors, raising concerns and diminishing public confidence.
Constitutional Amendments: Extending Presidential Tenure
The constitution was amended in 2019, extending the presidential term to six years, enabling Sisi to pursue a third term. While Sisi’s focus was on security and economic development, critics argue that the economy has faltered under his leadership.
Outlook: Economic Grumbles and Voter Turnout
Critics like Mohamed Anwar Sadat express concern about economic discontent affecting voter turnout. Despite distractions caused by regional conflicts, dissatisfaction over economic woes persists among the populace.
In conclusion, Egypt stands on the brink of another term for Sisi, yet discontent brews amidst economic challenges and curtailed dissent. The election’s legitimacy and the true representation of people’s voices remain subjects of intense scrutiny and debate.
