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Home Politics

Assassination Sparks Tensions: Is the Middle East on the Verge of All-Out War?

Benita OrumabyBenita Oruma
August 1, 2024
in Politics
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Assassination Sparks Tensions: Is the Middle East on the Verge of All-Out War?
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In the heat of the protests in Nigeria, tensions are escalating in the Middle East as a potential full-scale war with Israel seems imminent. The assassination of Hamas leader Ismail Haniyeh in Tehran on Wednesday has sparked outrage within the Islamic community. Haniyeh, along with Islamic Jihad leader Ziad al-Nakhala, senior representatives of Yemen’s Tehran-backed Houthi movement, and Lebanon’s Hezbollah, had attended the inauguration of Iran’s new president on Tuesday.

Haniyeh was killed just hours after the ceremony. Both Hamas and Iran have accused Israel of orchestrating the assassination, but Israel has yet to respond directly, instead asserting its right to defend itself if necessary. Additionally, Hezbollah’s top commander was killed in an Israeli strike on Beirut on Tuesday.

These events have deeply unsettled and angered Islamic groups, who accuse Israel of breaching unwritten rules of engagement by targeting key officials. Israel’s history of aggressive responses has often led to significant casualties. However, a crucial question arises: This is not the first time Israel has targeted and killed top officials in these groups. What has changed this time, and why is there such heightened agitation?

Sources confirm that Iran is currently convening a meeting with its proxies in Yemen, Iraq, Lebanon, and Hamas to discuss retaliation against Israel. Hamas’ armed wing has stated that Haniyeh’s killing will “take the battle to new dimensions and have major repercussions.” Akbar Ahmadian, secretary of Iran’s Supreme National Security Council, told Iran’s semi-official Mehr news agency that “all fronts of the resistance will take revenge for Haniyeh’s blood,” indicating a potential escalation of conflict in the Middle East.

The Iranian government has consistently maintained an anti-Israel stance and has threatened severe consequences if Israel attacks Hezbollah. Iranian President Massoud has warned that any Israeli retaliation against Hezbollah will lead to significant repercussions for Israel. Hezbollah has been a key entry point for Iran into the ongoing Middle Eastern conflict. With the recent deaths of Hezbollah’s top commander and an Iranian military adviser in Beirut, Iran now sees an opportunity to intensify its aggression, potentially even using its developing nuclear capabilities.

Could this be a staged act? A perfectly orchestrated scenario to suppress dissent? Israel appears to have walked into a trap with a critical miscalculation. The death of Haniyeh presents a perfect entry point for Iran which has been seeking an entry point into the conflict. Iran in April, launched a barrage of missiles and drones at Israel, claiming it was retaliation for Israel’s suspected deadly strike on its embassy in Damascus on April 1, though most were intercepted.

“Iran’s response to the assassination of Martyr Haniyeh will be stronger than before,” former senior Revolutionary Guards Commander Esmail Kosari told state TV.

One aspect remains unclear: Iran attributes the assassination of the Hamas leader, who played a crucial role in peace negotiations between Israel and Hamas, to Israel. Haniyeh had been greatly involved in mediation talks, which had recently shown promising progress toward a ceasefire so why would Israel target a key figure in these negotiations?

Could Israel have easily infiltrated Iran? Would Israel be so reckless as to derail mediation efforts? Or is there an undisclosed element to this situation? It is challenging to resolve these questions, as Israel should have considered the ramifications of killing a high-ranking official in Iran. This situation prompts significant speculation about whether Israel was indeed responsible or if other factors were at play. However, a lack of direct response from Israel adds more uncertainty to the mystery and also tacitly supports Iran’s claims.

As war looms in the Middle East, the future of Israel remains uncertain. Iran, known for its growing military strength and defiance of the nuclear agreement, also holds the United States partly responsible for tipping the balance of global peace due to its support for Israel. With the conflict escalating, it seems unlikely that Iran will retreat from a confrontation with Israel now that it has been drawn into the fray. Israel’s capacity to defend itself against attacks from the resistance groups is also uncertain, increasing the risk if a full-scale war breaks out. The entire world is watching the Middle East with caution, hoping for de-escalation.

Tags: AssassinationAssassination Sparks Tensions: Is the Middle East on the Verge of All-Out War?federal characterMiddle EastPoliticswar
Benita Oruma

Benita Oruma

Benita Oruma is a lawyer in training, a 400 level student in the university of Ibadan. She is a content writer with interest in corporate affairs and the marketplace.

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