The International Monetary Fund (IMF) has released its latest World Economic Outlook (WEO) report, which predicts that Nigeria’s economy will grow by 3.2% in 2025. This updated prediction shows a 0.2% increase compared to the IMF’s earlier estimate in July.
The report also states that Nigeria’s inflation rate is expected to level off at 25% in 2025 and then drop to 14% by 2029. The country’s economic growth for 2024 is predicted to stay at 2.9%, which is lower than the IMF’s earlier forecast.
On a global scale, the IMF expects economic growth to stay at 3.2% in 2025, a small decrease from its previous estimate in July. The economic growth rate for Sub-Saharan Africa is projected to be 4.2% in 2025, even though this is a downward revision from the earlier prediction in April.
Nigeria’s economy showed strength in the first half of 2024, with growth rates of 2.98% in the first quarter and 3.19% in the second quarter. This growth was better than in 2023, even though the country faced big economic challenges like higher petrol prices and a very high inflation rate, the highest in 28 years.
The International Monetary Fund (IMF) said that their new forecast for Sub-Saharan Africa was lower because of problems caused by climate change, like bad weather and supply chain issues. They also mentioned slower growth in Nigeria and a big drop in Sudan’s economy, which is struggling with ongoing conflicts.
The report said, “The forecast for the region is now 0.2 percentage points lower for 2024 and 0.1 percentage points higher for 2025.”
Nigeria’s inflation rate started to go down in July 2024 after rising for 19 months, but it went up again recently because the Nigerian National Petroleum Company Limited (NNPCL) increased petrol prices in September.