The West African regional group, ECOWAS, is grappling with a major challenge: persuading military-ruled countries to return to democracy and stay in the alliance. This is especially critical after three coup-hit nations – Niger, Burkina Faso, and Mali – decided to leave in January.
What’s the Problem?
ECOWAS, led by Nigerian President Bola Tinubu, wants these countries back. But their departure threatens regional unity and hinders trade worth billions. The current approach, including sanctions, hasn’t worked. Niger, for example, is struggling under sanctions, even though they were lifted from Mali.
Time for a Change?
President Tinubu wants to “reexamine” how ECOWAS approaches the situation. This might mean easing sanctions on Niger as a gesture of goodwill. Some see this as appeasement, but the goal is to encourage all sides to talk and find a solution.
The Stakes Are High
Leaving ECOWAS would hurt everyone. The three countries would lose access to trade and essential services. The region would lose its unity and risk further instability.
A Difficult Path Forward
The three countries have formed their own alliance and are seeking closer ties. This makes it even harder for ECOWAS to bring them back.
What’s Next?
It’s unclear how the situation will unfold. ECOWAS needs a new strategy to bridge the divide, encourage dialogue, and prevent further fragmentation. The future of regional stability and prosperity depends on finding a way forward.