After three decades of hostilities, Rwanda and the Democratic Republic of Congo have reached a draft peace agreement that outlines a path toward disarmament and regional stability.
Mediated by US and Qatari officials during talks in Washington, the deal establishes a framework for the “disengagement, disarmament, and conditional integration” of armed groups, including the M23 rebels who control large portions of eastern DR Congo.
The agreement also creates a joint security mechanism to prevent future clashes, with a formal signing ceremony expected next week under the supervision of US Secretary of State Marco Rubio.
While the draft marks a significant breakthrough, important details remain unresolved. Analysts question whether the M23, which recently captured Goma and Bukavu, will fully withdraw from occupied territories.
The agreement’s call for “respect for territorial integrity” leaves ambiguity over Rwanda’s alleged military presence in Congo—a claim Kigali denies, insisting its actions are defensive against the FDLR, a Hutu-led militia linked to the 1994 Rwandan genocide.
Additionally, the deal proposes the return of refugees and humanitarian access, though past accords, including a 2023 Angolan-mediated agreement, collapsed after failing to gain political endorsement.
Why It Matters
The potential end to violence could unlock billions in Western investment in eastern Congo’s mineral sector, a global hub for coltan, cobalt, and other critical electronics components.
The Kinshasa government, facing territorial losses, reportedly sought US assistance in exchange for mining access, raising questions about the economic underpinnings of the deal. However, skepticism persists given the region’s history of failed peace efforts.
The conflict has displaced hundreds of thousands and left thousands dead, with aid corridors like Goma’s airport frequently shuttered. The draft agreement pledges to address these crises, but enforcement mechanisms are still to be tested.