The ceasefire talks in Doha hit a pause on Friday, with negotiators set to reconvene next week, as they scramble to hammer out an agreement that could finally put an end to the relentless bloodshed between Israel and Hamas. Despite U.S. President Joe Biden’s cautious optimism, noting that “we’re not there yet,” the situation remains as tense as ever.
What They Are saying
In a joint statement, the U.S., Qatar, and Egypt revealed that Washington had floated a new proposal, supposedly building on the “progress” made in the past week. The idea is that this new plan could close the gaps and expedite a ceasefire agreement.
The mediators are still working on the details, claiming that the path is now clear to save lives, ease the suffering in Gaza, and reduce tensions across the region. This all sounds great on paper, but history has shown us that such optimistic rhetoric rarely translates into reality.
Meanwhile, an Israeli official mentioned that their delegation in Doha is heading back home, with Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu set to meet U.S. Secretary of State Antony Blinken on Monday. Blinken, in turn, is rushing to Israel on Saturday to “continue intensive diplomatic efforts” to secure a ceasefire and the release of hostages. But let’s be real—this so-called “intensive diplomacy” has been dragging on for months, with little to show for it.
The talks to end the war in Gaza, which has left tens of thousands of Palestinians dead, resumed on Thursday. While Hamas wasn’t directly at the table, they were kept in the loop. However, senior Hamas official Izzat al-Rishq claimed that Israel “did not abide by what was agreed upon” in earlier discussions, according to what the mediators reported.
President Biden, not wanting to jinx the delicate process, hinted that a deal is “much, much closer” than before. But he was quick to temper expectations, noting, “we’re not there yet.” The White House also confirmed that Biden spoke with Qatar’s Amir Sheikh Tamim Bin Hamad Al-Thani and Egypt’s President Abdel Fattah Al-Sisi about the so-called “progress” made.
The sticking points in these talks are hardly surprising. Israel insists that peace is only achievable if Hamas is wiped out, while Hamas demands a permanent ceasefire, not just a temporary one. The devil, as always, is in the details, like the order in which things will happen, who gets released when, and control over the Gaza-Egypt border.
Why It Matters
On the ground in Gaza, the situation is as dire as ever. Israeli forces pounded targets across the densely populated area, issuing new evacuation orders even in places they previously labeled as safe. Hamas, of course, is accused of using these zones to launch attacks on Israel.
Families are fleeing with whatever they can carry, as the United Nations pleads for a week-long pause in the fighting just to carry out a polio vaccination campaign. With polio spreading among the displaced, the situation is a “contagion time bomb,” as one senior Western official put it.
U.N. Secretary-General Antonio Guterres called for humanitarian pauses to allow for the vaccination campaign, but also pointed out that the real “vaccine” needed is peace—something that seems increasingly out of reach.
The conflict, which erupted on October 7 when Hamas militants stormed into Israel, has already claimed more than 1,200 Israeli lives and left around 250 people as hostages, according to Israeli figures. On the other side, Gaza lies in ruins, with over 40,000 Palestinians, mostly civilians, dead, according to Palestinian health authorities. Israel claims it has killed 17,000 Hamas fighters in the process.
Hamas, unsurprisingly, blames Israel’s ongoing military operations for stalling progress towards a ceasefire. The Israeli delegation in Doha includes top intelligence and security officials, while the U.S. has dispatched CIA Director Bill Burns and its Middle East envoy Brett McGurk. Qatar and Egypt are also in the mix, trying to mediate.
Bottom Line
All this is happening under the looming threat of a broader regional conflict, especially after the assassination of Hamas leader Ismail Haniyeh in Tehran on July 31. Iran has threatened retaliation, and with U.S. military assets swarming the region, the stakes couldn’t be higher. Washington hopes that a ceasefire deal might stave off a wider war, but the clock is ticking.