For Nigeria, hope seems to be far fetched especially with the current devaluation of the naira as against the dollar, which has caused an injury to the anticipated hope we once held, causing darkness and gloom to descend again upon our once sunny sky. The Nigerian naira as at today’s rate has devalued yet again against the dollar at a rate of 1420 to 1 dollar. This latest depreciation has dashed the brooding hope of Nigerians for a rising economy and stronger naira, exacerbating the challenges posed by the inflation crisis.
Despite this darkness, a flicker of light seems to be rising in the midst of Nigeria’s economic gloom. A beacon of hope that has become the topic of public applause as well as transnational praise cum scrutiny in the international economic arena. This light gives hope to the falling Nigeria and its currency.
Nigeria lags behind its international counterparts in the global arena concerning the reduction of inflation rates and economic standards. While countries like Ghana, Angola, and Kenya are projected to witness a moderation in inflation rates by the end of 2024, Nigeria is forecasted to experience a 29.1% acceleration in inflation within the same period.
Furthermore, Nigeria has been displaced in the International Monetary Fund (IMF) ranking of the top largest economies in Africa. According to the IMF, Ethiopia is set to surpass Nigeria as the second-largest economy in sub-Saharan Africa. The once Giant of Africa now occupies the fourth position in the ranking of the largest economies in Africa, with Algeria, Egypt, and South Africa taking the third, second, and first places, respectively.
These reports show the effect of our devalued naira on our economy not to mention the potential exit of international companies like Nigerian Breweries and PZ Cussons from Nigeria due to the significant challenges that our devalued naira poses to their profit margins.
The woes seem to keep coming, like an unending torrent of water pouring into the system, drowning the hopes of millions of Nigerians as to the resurrection of our beloved country from the ashes that have covered its reputation.
However, this flicker of light that seems to be rising amidst Nigeria’s economic gloom promises revitalisation and recovery to our failing system. As such Nigeria, even against hope can hold on to hope for its systematic recovery.
The recently concluded and functional Dangote Refinery shines a peculiar light on the path of Nigeria’s recovery. The refinery with a processing capacity of 650,000 bpd has been ranked above Europe’s ten largest refineries in capacity including the Pernis Refinery, with its installed capacity of 404,000 barrels per day.
Paving a new path of transformation for Nigeria economy
The Dangote refinery as the largest refinery in Africa and Europe promises transformation not only for Nigeria but for Africa as a whole. The refinery with its 650,000 processing capacity may be able to supply fuel to other African nations thereby halting Africa’s dependence on Europe for fuel and making Nigeria, the largest producers of refined oil in Africa.
The benefits of these in terms of economic growth and development for Nigeria are enough to renew hope in our hopeless economy as the refinery reduces Nigeria’s reliance on imported petroleum products and boost domestic production which can lead to economic growth through the creations of employment opportunities, attracting investment and increasing governmental revenue through taxes and royalties.
Moreso, the refinery has the potential to enhance energy security by reducing the continent’s dependency on European supply of petroleum products. This can mitigate the impact of fluctuations in global oil prices and supply disruptions on the continent. It can also help to conserve foreign exchange reserves and reduce Africa’s vulnerability to external economic shocks.
Additionally, The establishment of the refinery is expected to stimulate growth in related industries and sectors, such as petrochemicals, manufacturing, transportation, and logistics thereby creating a ripple effect across the economic landscape, fostering industrial development, and diversification. Also the operation of the refinery can help build local capacity and the technical expertise in the oil and gas sector as well as other related industries.
Worthy of note is the fact that the operation of such a large-scale refinery require extensive infrastructure, including transportation networks, power supply, and water resources. The development of these infrastructures can have spillover effects, benefiting other sectors of the economy and improving overall competitiveness.
In summary, the refinery with its 650,000 barrels per day processing capacity has the potential to be a game-changer for Nigeria and Africa’s continental economy driving growth, diversification, and development and repositioning as a key player in the global energy market.
So yes! amidst the darkness and gloom, all hope seems not to be lost as a beacon of light and hope rises, whose full impact however, will depend on effective management, regulatory frameworks, and policies to optimally harness its benefits for sustainable development repositioning Nigeria as a true Giant of Africa.