The Somali government is urging a delay in the withdrawal of African peacekeepers to avoid a potential security vacuum. A document reviewed by Reuters reveals that neighboring countries are worried that al Shabaab militants could gain power if peacekeepers leave too quickly.
ATMIS Withdrawal Plan
The African Union Transition Mission in Somalia (ATMIS), a peacekeeping force present in Somalia, is scheduled to withdraw by December 31. A smaller force is expected to replace it. However, last month, the Somali government requested that the withdrawal of troops scheduled for June be postponed until September.
Funding and Diplomatic Challenges
The European Union and the United States, major funders of the AU force in Somalia, are pushing to reduce the peacekeeping operation due to concerns over long-term financing and sustainability. This has been confirmed by four diplomatic sources and a senior Ugandan official.
Complicated Negotiations
Negotiations for a new force have been challenging. The African Union initially sought a more robust mandate than what Somalia wanted, according to three diplomatic sources. A political dispute could lead Ethiopia to withdraw some of its most experienced troops.
Official Statements
The Somali presidency and prime minister’s office have not commented on the situation. Mohamed El-Amine Souef, AU special representative to Somalia and head of ATMIS, stated that there is no definitive timeline for concluding negotiations. However, he emphasized that all parties are committed to reaching an agreement that ensures sustainable peace and security.
Why It Matters
The AU and Somali government stress the importance of a conditions-based drawdown to prevent a security vacuum that could allow militant groups like al Shabaab to seize power. This explains the delicate balance between reducing foreign troop presence and maintaining security in Somalia.
Impact of Troop Withdrawal
As the drawdown continues, with 5,000 of approximately 18,500 troops leaving last year, the Somali government has expressed confidence in managing its security. They have stated that the new force should not exceed 10,000 troops and should focus on securing major population centers.
Upcoming Discussions
The Peace and Security Council is scheduled to meet on Thursday to discuss the drawdown and the follow-up mission in Somalia. The outcome of these discussions will be crucial in determining the future security landscape of Somalia and the role of international forces in supporting stability.
